The G20 Summit, held in Osaka, was in many ways a landmark event, which, among other things, showed that Obama’s era plans to isolate Russia from the world community are just as gone.
And so many good tidings! The meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. The negotiations that lasted for almost an hour and a half can hardly be called fleeting. For comparison, the meeting of the two leaders in Helsinki last summer lasted just over 2 hours. Suppose that the agenda of the dialogue in Osaka remained a mystery in its entirety, one must assume that even in itself it is remarkable, given the extremely tense relations between Russia and the United States.
At the same time, Putin took a risky but justified step by inviting some colleagues to Moscow to the parade on May 9, 2020 in honor of the 75th anniversary of the Victory in the World War 2. And if Trump is only considering the possibility of such visit, French President Emmanuel Macron has already confirmed his presence at the event.
The expert community rightly regards such tendencies as a sign that in the West they are trying to resume cooperation with Russia. This is evidenced by the fact that Ukraine, which once became a key factor in the escalation of anti-Russian policy in the world, was hardly mentioned during the G20 summit.
Ukrainian crisis receded far into the background. For Trump, Ukraine is a non-state. And while it was mentioned during the Russia-US meeting, one only needs to look at the team accompanying Trump, which didn’t have a single expert on Ukraine
On the one hand, such disinterestedness on the part of the West may indicate that there will be no one to deal with the settlement. On the other hand, there is reason to believe that the conflict will end, nevertheless, with the banal division of Ukraine. Given the internal tensions in the country, this scenario is becoming increasingly justified, and recent meetings of Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron with Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky, at least, show that European countries are less and less willing to sacrifice national interests for the sake of Ukraine.
A very interesting twist was the situation with the US-Turkish crisis. More recently, Washington has thrown threats against Ankara because Turkey will be armed with Russian air defense systems, but now even Trump admitted that, above all, the blame lies with the United States, which at one time refused Turkey to buy Patriot complexes.
It is clear that amid the tension around Iran, least of all, Trump needs an extra enemy in the Middle East. However, much more important is that Ankara has created an important precedent in the international arena. It turns out that it is quite possible to cooperate with NATO and even be part of an alliance, but at the same time interact with Russia. It is possible that this fact will still play into the hands of Moscow in the future.
Last year’s G20 summit in Buenos Aires was overshadowed by a resonant incident that occurred in the Kerch Strait. On November 25, Ukrainian warships attempted to cross the Russian border. As a result, the ships together with the crew were detained by Russian border guards and are still in custody in the Russian Federation. Then, amid the crisis in the Black Sea, the event turned out to be anti-Russian sentiment at the G20 summit. However, the current meeting of world leaders clearly showed that without this kind of ambiguous incidents, the myth of Russia’s isolation would simply fade away.